“Only when the tide goes out do you discover who has been swimming naked.” Warren Buffet (Value Investor).
Francis, Tanzman, and Matthews (2014) examined the credibility of psychological articles published in the prestigious journal Science. They focused on articles that contained four or more articles because (a) the statistical test that they has insufficient power for smaller sets of studies and (b) the authors assume that it is only meaningful to focus on studies that are published within a single article.
They found 26 articles published between 2006 and 2012. Eight articles could not be analyzed with their method.
The remaining 18 articles had a 100% success rate. That is, they never reported that a statistical hypothesis test failed to produce a significant result. Francis et al. computed the probability of this outcome for each article. When the probability was less than 10%, they made the recommendation to be…
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